Conviction Formation Theory
A cycle of essays about what can carry thinking and action amid competing convictions and standards, without certainty or a final foundation.
I. Forming And Revising Convictions
A first cycle of essays examining how convictions form, how inquiry can reorganize them, and how finite agents participate without fully controlling what becomes convincing.
Questions, Possibilities, And Formal Systems
II. Examining Constraint
A second cycle of essays examining logic, probability, and causality, asking what makes their conclusions compelling, what they depend on, and how far their authority reaches.
Recursive Examination
Sources Of Logical Constraint
Sources Of Constraint In Probability Theory And Bayesian Updating
Sources Of Constraint In Pearl's Theory Of Causality
Refinement, Pluralism, And What Remains