Conviction Formation Theory
A cycle of essays about what can carry thinking and action amid competing convictions and standards, without certainty or a final foundation.
I. Forming And Revising Convictions
A first cycle of essays examining how convictions form, how inquiry can reorganize them, and how finite agents participate without fully controlling what becomes convincing.
Questions, Possibilities, And Formal Systems
II. Examining Constraint
A second cycle of essays asking whether inquiry can find criteria for refining convictions without appealing to a final authority, and examining what logic, probability, and causality contribute to that problem.
Sources Of Constraint In Probability Theory And Bayesian Updating